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麻豆社madou Sydney鈥檚聽聽has been researching climate change psychology for a decade and his work focuses on how to tackle the preconceived notions people have which cloud their decision-making in the face of an uncertain future.听

Prof. Newell said the past summer鈥檚 fire season was 鈥渆xtremely bad鈥 but he wondered what would happen to people鈥檚 attitudes towards climate change if the bushfires were less severe this summer.听

鈥淟ast summer鈥檚 smoke haze was a big concern because some people were seeing it as the new norm. They shrugged and said, 鈥極h, it鈥檚 smoky today and we've had a couple of months of it, whatever,鈥 but it seems wrong to already be at the point of accepting that's just the way things are now,鈥 he said.听

鈥淭he fires did, however, get people talking about climate change and what action we should take to tackle it, but it won't necessarily be the case that next summer the fires will be as bad 鈥 so, people might think the urgency to take action is not as great.

鈥淭his has been an overarching theme of my research in climate change communication and understanding people's psychological reactions to climate change science: the notion of psychological distance that people put between themselves and climate change.鈥

Prof. Newell聽聽in one of his studies: 鈥淧sychological distance refers to the extent to which an object is removed from oneself; for example, in likelihood of occurrence, in time, in geographical space or in social distance,鈥 he said.

鈥淪o, if people perceive climate change as psychologically distant from themselves, they could construe it in more abstract terms, potentially impeding action if the threat is perceived as less real, tangible or relevant.

鈥淔or example, the melting of the Arctic and Antarctic has been a wake-up call for years now but because they are sparsely populated, it鈥檚 not front and centre of many people鈥檚 concerns.听

鈥淥n the other hand, it鈥檚 encouraging there is more and more research which shows how direct experience with events perceived to be related to climate change, such as extreme weather and drought, can reduce perceived psychological distance.鈥

When apparently 鈥榬are鈥 disasters become frequent

Prof. Newell has researched how information on simulated 鈥渞are鈥, natural disasters influences people鈥檚 decision-making about whether to live in risk-prone areas.

In one of his聽, participants gained more points by choosing to live in riskier areas 鈥 safer areas were awarded fewer points 鈥 but everybody lost points if a disaster affected their area.听

Participants received different information about the frequency, location and accumulation of disasters, across time 鈥 and had the option to relocate after each round of disasters.

A glacier melts in Antarctica

The impact of global warming in remote locations like Antarctica, pictured, is less of a concern to people because few live there, a 麻豆社madou Psychology professor says. Photo: Shutterstock

Prof. Newell said the disaster simulations could be viewed in the context of the psychological distance people felt between themselves and climate change.

鈥淔actors influencing psychological distance 鈥 time, certainty, social distance and geography 鈥 can serve to put things out of your mind and encourage you to think about things in an abstract way,鈥 he said.

鈥淚n the experimental worlds in our research, if disaster struck and people were told it was a 鈥榦nce-in-100-years鈥 event, did that mean they immediately moved away from that region to one they thought might be safer, or did they stay because they thought it wouldn鈥檛 happen again for another hundred years?

鈥淓xamining the reasons behind people鈥檚 decision-making was outside the scope of that study, but in more recent聽聽we have begun to ask how we might communicate long-term trends in severe climatic events, thereby reinforcing the accumulation of events, and the increase in their associated risks, across time.鈥

Prof. Newell said these kinds of studies have implications for climate change communication.

鈥淚f we collect all the historical data on climate change trends, supposedly 鈥榬are鈥 disasters start to accumulate, become more frequent and happen closer together in time,鈥 he said.

鈥淭hat鈥檚 the kind of messaging we need to communicate to help reduce the psychological distance people could feel between themselves and climate change.鈥

No 鈥榤agic formula鈥 to communicate climate change risk

Prof. Newell said the information we consumed about natural disasters, such as summer鈥檚 bushfire emergency, influenced how psychologically distant people felt about climate change.听

鈥淒ifferent people will respond to different messages. Some people will respond to having the science explained to them, while other people couldn't care less about the science but they know there's a problem,鈥 he said.

鈥淥n the other hand, some people are only going to be listening to economic arguments, while for others it鈥檚 all about the social, ethical and moral obligations. So, it鈥檚 all in the mix and we have to try and get the right balance of perspectives.

鈥淏ut I鈥檓 unsure what the magic formula is, because with all these things, I don't think there is a magic bullet way of communicating climate change risk.鈥

Prof. Newell also acknowledged the constant overload of information people consumed, from both traditional and new media, could 鈥渘ormalise鈥 natural disasters in people鈥檚 minds and encourage them to ignore the risks of climate change.听

鈥淭here鈥檚 a lot of literature that shows people adapt and acquiesce to seeing lots of the same type of stimulus over and over again 鈥 so, people become more and more likely to say, 鈥極h yeah, it鈥檚 just the same thing鈥,鈥 he said.听聽

鈥淪ometimes even I find myself thinking, 鈥業 can't think about this stuff anymore because it's just too hard鈥, but I'm reminded of the necessity to keep talking about it, to keep reiterating the message.

鈥淓ven if there is a danger of habituation or disengagement, the danger of not talking about it is much worse. So, the continuous reminder these things are happening now and will keep happening again has to be part and parcel of it.鈥

A woman looks out a window

A number of factors influence why people can feel "psychologically distant" towards something like climate change; for example, if they believe it's unlikely to occur or have any impact on where they live. Photo: Shutterstock

Prof. Newell said it was wrong to suggest the media should minimise or stop reporting on natural disasters to prevent normalising such events in people鈥檚 minds.听

鈥淭here's often this tension between making the message compelling and engaging, but not pushing it so far that people will just switch off out of either fear or disengagement,鈥 he said.

鈥淲ith the bushfires the fear was definitely there, but the hard part is, what鈥檚 going on in people鈥檚 minds now the fires have generally slipped out of the headlines 鈥 particularly, for those whom the fires did not directly affect?聽

鈥淭here鈥檚 no easy solution as to how we can keep the central message 鈥 that the propensity for these events to occur is increasing and there鈥檚 a need to take action now 鈥 front and centre, without the risk of being dismissed.鈥澛

Why there鈥檚 still hope for a better tomorrow

Despite the increasing risks of climate change and concerns that people who were psychologically distant to the problem might 鈥渟witch off鈥, Prof. Newell said he was still hopeful the situation would improve for the good of the planet and future generations.听

鈥淵ou always have to have hope because if you don鈥檛 have hope, how do you keep on going? My hope is that summer鈥檚 bushfire emergency was a tipping point,鈥 he said.

鈥淚 was the most hopeful I had been in a long while when I saw the school student-led climate change strikes and the number of people who were passionate enough to get out and protest, make noise and try to hold politicians to account, to get some sense of momentum.

鈥淪o, there is the need to have a clear message about the risks of climate change, the need to repeat that information, and the need to give clear indications about the actions people can take and the impact they can have on the environment.鈥

One of Prof. Newell鈥檚 latest projects is co-leading the聽, where he puts forward聽.听

听补蝉听the period of time during which human activities have had an environmental impact on the Earth, regarded as constituting a distinct geological age.听

Prof. Newell said: 鈥淎s I put forward in my vision for the Anthropocene, we should all be able to 鈥榙o the right thing by the environment鈥 without having to think about it. One potential pathway is to make the pro-environmental choice the easy choice. If habits are behaviours that need minimal cognitive effort, then let鈥檚 take the effort away from choosing.鈥澛

Find more details about Prof. Newell鈥檚 research on his website:聽